Friday, September 28, 2007

California @ Oregon Gameday BEST BET



Duke +24
Syracuse -1
Wisc -7
Minnesota +23
Sd St. +15

BEST BET:

Oregon is 4-1 ATS against California, getting the green in the past two clashes at Eugene. The Ducks have 'covered' nine of their last dozen at home. They get the win here over a tough California squad.

Oregon -6.5


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West Virginia at South Florida ESPN

Big Win last night with an easy winner in Boise St. here is tonight’s info and selection:



Tonight West Virginia takes on South Florida in a prime time televised knockdown drag down for both teams. This game looks tempting to take the home dog but I am going to go the other way on this one. WV has revenge for a loss last year and in the post game speech after a win against East Carolina the coach talked about this game, which means they have been looking forward to it.

The Mountaineers are favored by a touchdown and come off four consecutive double-digit wins. They average 47.3 PPG and are on a 13-4 ATS run as road chalk. West Virginia also has the nation's No. 2 rushing offense at 357 yards per game and is led by Steve Slaton (125.5), whose next TD run will have him a school-record 43 in his career. Yet that vaunted ground game of Slaton and QB Pat White was held in check by the South Florida defense last season, as they combined for a stunning 60 yards on the ground in a 24-19 loss as three-touchdown favorites.

BET THE GAME WITH THE BEST LINE HERE!



Hoping to avoid another upset, WVU hired away former USF Offensive Coordinator Rod Smith.

West Virginia won’t take the Bulls lightly this time and having White under center is big difference. If the Mountaineers are true national contenders, they must win games just like this. Even with all the success under coach Rich Rodriguez, these are the types of tilts they have lost previously. They will come into this Big East bad boy with 11-3 ATS record after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games over the last three seasons.

West Virginia: 19-8 ATS away off a win by 21+ points

Selection: West Virginia -7 (buy down if it goes 7.5)

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Boise St / Southern Miss ESPN Game



Boise State bounced back from road loss to Washington with a 24-14 win at home against Wyoming. The Broncos do not appear to have the firepower of recent vintage, scoring just 17 points per game against better competition. Coach Chris Peterson understands his team is making a transition and is leaning heavily on running Ian Johnson, while Taylor Tharp grows into quarterback position. Johnson has been the focus of the opposition’s attention, as he is averaging less than 100 yards per game. Collectively, the Broncos are still running the ball for 199 yards a game, though it should be noted they are doing so against teams allowing 208 PG.

Thursday’s ESPN match-up has Boise State as 10.5-point favorites at Sportsbook.com with a total of 49.5. The Broncos are 4-2 against the spread off two non-covers in a row and is 17-3 ATS when not favored by more than 28 points at Bronco Stadium.


BET THE BIG GAME HERE FOR YOUR BEST LINE!




Both teams have a history of success against the opposing conference; Boise State is 13-1 vs. C-USA and Southern Miss 36-16 against the WAC. The Golden Eagles are a formidable squad, which has raised speculation why a double digit underdog. The simple truth is most linemakers grade out Boise State as 6 to 6.5 point faves on the blue turf at Bronco Stadium, making it one the toughest places in college football to play at. With this knowledge, the Broncos are 32-12 ATS as home favorites since they started making lines on there games.

Tune in at 7:45 Eastern to see if Jeff Bower’s Eagles can improve upon 4-8 ATS record when not playing on Saturday’s.




Southern Miss: 5-16 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less

Boise State: 32-12 ATS as a home favorite



Selection: Boise St -10

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Week 5 Trends

Navy has gotten used to ruling the roost among the service academies. The Midshipmen have won and 'covered' four straight against Air Force and prevailed in seven of their last eight against Army.
Rookie Falcons coach Troy Calhoun looks to buck that trend when he takes his team to Annapolis this Saturday. Air Force lost its final four games in 2006, but it has thrived under Calhoun, winning their first three games this season prior to last Saturday's visit to BYU.
Paul Johnson has put the Middies back on the college football map the past four seasons, posting a 35-15 mark and leading his team to four straight bowl games. However, Navy has struggled this season, losing its last pair and failing to cash three straight before hosting Duke last Saturday.

Trends and angles for the entire Week 5 menu appear below.



SOUTHERN MISS at BOISE ST
Boise State has thrived on its blue 'Smurf' turf, cashing 14 of its past 19 at home and at a 22-11-1 clip as favorites. The Broncos are 50-2 straight up in Boise since '99. Upset-minded Southern Mississippi is 9-2 as road dogs off a SU dog win. However, the Golden Eagles are just 4-9 as non-conference dogs on the highway and 4-10 ATS away versus quality teams.

WEST VIRGINIA at USF
West Virginia will be looking for revenge after losing to South Florida last year as 21-point home favorites, 24-19. The Mountaineers have thrived on the highway, winning 13 of 14 SU and cashing 10 of 13. They have also clicked in 12 of 14 ATS when playing on a weekday. The Bulls were 5-2 ATS against Big East foes last season. They have also 'covered' four straight conference openers.

DUKE at MIAMI
Duke has 'covered' 20 of 29 on the road while Miami has come up short in 14 of its last 20 as favorites.

NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA TECH
Virginia Tech has spanked North Carolina by a combined score of 65-13 the past two seasons. The Hokies are 17-7-1 ATS versus ACC foes.

AKRON at CONNECTICUT
Akron has come up short at a 6-2-1 clip on the road of late. Connecticut has cashed eight of its last dozen at Rentschler Field.


INDIANA at IOWA
Iowa has 'covered' in four of the past five series showdowns with Indiana. However, the Hoosiers upset the Hawkeyes last year as 19-point home dogs, 31-28. Indiana is 8-16 ATS on the conference road and 6-12 ATS away from home when facing quality teams. The Hawkeyes have cashed 18 of their last 24 conference tests at home and 26 of 34 as home chalk. They are only 3-7 as double-digit favorites.

MISS ST at SOUTH CAROLINA
Mississippi State is 6-0-1 ATS on the highway lately. The Bulldogs have cashed four straight on the road in revenge mode. South Carolina has won and 'covered' the last four series encounters. The Gamecocks are caught in a sandwich, coming off last week's battle with LSU and with Kentucky on tap next. USC has cashed six of its last seven as favorites but it is 8-15-1 ATS at Williams-Bryce Stadium against conference foes.

TEMPLE at ARMY
Army has failed in five of its last six as favorites and dropped five straight ATS decisions at home. The Cadets are 3-17 as favorites of more than seven points.

BUFFALO at BALL ST
Ball State has 'covered' four straight at home versus an opponent with revenge. Buffalo has cashed seven of its last 10 on the road. The Cardinals are 4-1 as favorites and 11-6-1 ATS when facing MAC opposition. They have also clicked in six of seven as favorites coming off back-to-back SU losses.


NIU at CMU
Northern Illinois has won nine straight with Central Michigan (8-1 ATS). The Chippewas have 'covered' six straight and nine of their last 11 at home and 11 of their last 14 as favorites. CMU is also 11-2 ATS at home off a non-conference game. The Huskies have flopped in seven of their past 10 conference tests ATS.

MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN
Michigan has won seven of eight against Northwestern and cashed three of four. The Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road and 9-3 ATS versus conference foes away from home. The Wildcats have cashed five of six as home dogs of less than 10 points with revenge.

SYRACUSE at MIAMI (O)
Syracuse had cashed 16 of 20 outside the Big East prior to dropping its first three this year. Miami (O) has dropped five of six ATS at home and lost six in a row SU.

UTAH ST at UTAH
Utah has 'covered' six of eight against Utah State, but both spread losses were at home. The Utes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight at Rice-Eccles Stadium and they have cashed 14 of 16 as home chalk of more than 11 points.

CALIFORNIA at OREGON
Oregon is 4-1 ATS against California, getting the green in the past two clashes at Eugene. The Ducks have 'covered' nine of their last dozen at home. The Bears are 8-4 ATS on the Pac-10 road, but 0-4 as dogs.

ALABAMA at FLORIDA ST.
Alabama's Nick Saban faces his former offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher, who is now Florida State's OC. The Tide and the Seminoles will be meeting for the first time since 1974.

OLE MISS at GEORGIA
Mississippi is 10-2 as road dogs of more than nine points with revenge. The Rebels are 6-11 ATS on the road. Georgia is just 11-18-1 as favorites.

AUBURN at FLORIDA
Auburn's seven-game road winning streak could be in jeopardy. The Tigers have cashed three straight against Florida, but lost three in a row at Gainesville. Auburn is 4-0 as dogs and 8-4 as road pups. The Gators are 8-14-1 versus SEC foes at home. They have 'covered' six of eight versus quality teams at home, though the Tigers boast the same spread record versus quality teams on the road.

UCLA at OREGON ST
UCLA has won and cashed four straight against Oregon State. The Bruins are 8-2 as dogs when facing an opponent with revenge.

PENN ST at ILLINOIS
Penn State has come away with the cash in its last four visits to Illinois and it has won seven of the past eight series meetings. The Illini have barked in seven of their last 11 as home underdogs.

MICHIGAN ST at WISCONSIN
Wisconsin has a 4-2 ATS edge in the last six series scrapes. Michigan State is 3-6-1 as dogs and 9-15 ATS versus conference competition on the road. The Spartans have failed to cash 11 of 17 against quality-teams on the highway.

IOWA ST at NEBRASKA
Nebraska is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 clashes against Iowa State and it has cashed five straight in Lincoln. The Cyclones flunked six of eight conference tests last season ATS and are 9-15 ATS of late on the Big-12 road. The Huskers are 14-9-1 against conference foes at home. They have failed in four of five ATS at home when facing an opponent with revenge.

KANSAS ST at TEXAS
Texas has struggled against Kansas State, dropping four of five spread decisions, including two in a row at Austin. The Longhorns lost to the Wildcats last year as 16-point road favorites, 45-42. Kansas State is 4-11 ATS on the road and 3-6 as road dogs. The Wildcats have also come up short in nine of 12 on the highway when facing a conference opponent.

UNLV at NEVADA
This traditional rivalry has some striking contrasts. UNLV has dropped 15 of its last 18 spread decisions on the road while Nevada has cashed 14 of 17 at home and 15 of 16 as favorites. The Rebels have dropped three of their last four ATS in Reno. They are 1-7 ATS after Utah and 1-8 ATS when playing the first of back-to-back road games.

UTEP at SMU
SMU has clicked in eight of its last dozen in Dallas. UTEP has cashed seven of nine as dogs, but failed in nine of 11 as conference road short-enders and in 11 of 16 ATS versus conference rivals.

LSU at TULANE
LSU may show some mercy on Tulane after playing South Carolina last week and with Florida up next. The Tigers are 9-0-1 ATS versus non-conference foes and they have cashed eight straight as non-conference favorites of more than 24 points. The Green Wave is 4-16 as dogs, 2-10 ATS at home and 3-9 as dogs under the Superdome.

COLORADO ST at TCU
TCU has outscored Colorado State 88-20 the past two seasons. The Horned Frogs have 'covered' nine of 11 at home and nine of 10 at Fort Worth off back-to-back road games. However, TCU has failed at a 7-1 clip in its fourth game of the season.


More trends found here!

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

OSU Coach Mike Gundy sounds off!!



NCAA Football made mid week news when Mike Gundy sounded off on a reporter that had some things to say about a QB for OSU.

Friday, September 21, 2007

Friday Night Lights!

Easy winner last night and I have another one for tonight! Make sure to check out our great sponsors for free money and great odds!

Sports Betting at Sportsbook.com

Oklahoma is searching far and wide for another offense that can keep up with its 61.3 points and 565.3 yards per game. Quite frankly, there isn't one out there, but it's safe to say that Tulsa will give it a shot on Friday night.
Tulsa's 559 yards per game is fourth in the nation just behind Oklahoma, but the Golden Hurricane's 45 points per game is still 16-points shy of the Sooners. The scoreboard at Shelly Stadium in Tulsa will no doubt have its work cut out for this in-state showdown. Whichever team punts first may very well receive its first loss of the year.
This may be bad news for Tulsa as Oklahoma is equally as good on defense as it is on offense. The No. 4 Sooners have outscored their three opponents 184-26 en route to a 3-0 record to open the season. All three of those games were in Norman making this Friday night game OU's first road test and it comes on a short week to prepare.
Typically this would be a struggle for a freshman quarterback, but Oklahoma passer Sam Bradford has proven that he's not a typical freshman. Through three games, the Sooner slinger has a 219.51 passer rating and a completion percentage of 79.7. He has notched 11 touchdowns to only one interception, with five of those TDs coming in Oklahoma's clash versus perennial defensive power Miami (Fl).
It certainly helps Bradford having All-American candidates at all the skill positions. Freshman running back DeMarco Murray only made the rich, richer. He already has 251 rushing yards and six touchdowns to go along with fellow running back Allen Patrick's 160 yards and one touchdown. These two will make life difficult for a Golden Hurricane defense that has allowed an average of 184.5 rushing yards over their first two games.
Oklahoma is not only 3-0 SU, but also undefeated ATS. In fact, so far it seems that there isn't a line the oddsmakers can post that the Sooners can't cover. Oklahoma covered more than a 40-point spread against both North Texas and Utah State and in Week 2 covered an 11-point spread by 27 points against Miami.

Online Sports Betting at Sportsbook

Obviously the Sooners' talented offense has played a huge part in OU's early success, but it's tough for teams to cover a spread when they can't even score. Oklahoma's D ranks second in the nation giving up only 8.7 points per game and a measly 179.7 yards. These impressive stats have come against poor offensive units, so Tulsa's offense should be a good litmus test.
QB Paul Smith has led the Golden Hurricane to a 2-0 SU and ATS mark. The senior is coming off one of his best games to date, having thrown for 454 yards and five scores in a 55-47 win over BYU. Tulsa closed as a 7-point home underdog, yet on the shoulders of Smith, the Hurricane got the outright win.
These teams have met twice over the past six seasons with the most recent being in September 2005. Smith was a sophomore starter at the time and performed valiantly. The Tulsa running game was nonexistent in the game, forcing Smith to air it out 36 times and completing 24. He finished the game with 246 yards, one interception and a one-yard touchdown run in the 31-15 Oklahoma victory. The Sooners were ranked No. 18 at the time and bookmakers were expecting a blowout and didn't even post a line.
Tulsa hung tough with Oklahoma through three quarters heading into the fourth down only 14-9, but the mighty Sooners posted 17 points to close out the game. The other meeting was in Tulsa on a Friday night, similar to this year's matchup, but Oklahoma routed the Hurricane 37-0.

Online Sports Betting at Sportsbook

History tells us that Oklahoma has the edge in this one considering the Sooners are 8-1 when they score 28 or more points over the last two seasons. Given Tulsa's troubles on defense, it's almost a given that Oklahoma will score at least 28. Although Tulsa covered against BYU, it is uncommon over the past 15 years for the Hurricane to get the cheese when allowing more than 28 points. Since 1992 Tulsa is 23-64 ATS when allowing that many points.
Oddsmakers opened Oklahoma as a 20-point road favorite over Tulsa, but the public immediately came in on the Sooners pushing that number up to 23. The 'total' hovering around 67 1/2.

Selection: Over 66.5

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Thursday Night College Football ESPN

Thursday night Showdown


Bet at Wagerweb

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Miami Hurricanes will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Orange Bowl. Wagerweb currently has the Hurricanes listed as 3-point favorites versus the Aggies, while the game's total has not yet been posted.The Aggies were too much for the winless Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks last time out, pounding them 54-14.The 22.5-point favorite Aggies were easily able to cover the spread in that mismatch, and Texas A&M's offense put the game's combined tally OVER the posted 61-point total.The Hurricanes improved to 2-1 with a 23-9 win over the Florida International Golden Panthers in Week 3. The Hurricanes failed to cover the 33-point spread at home, while the combined 32 points were UNDER the posted total of 47.

Trends:
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas A&M is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road

MIAMI
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home

Selection: Miami +3