Thursday, November 29, 2007

ESPN Game Tonight

Tonight

I have the NFL, College Football and NBA!

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NCAA
Four Unit: Louisville -2.5

Rutgers is d-o-n-e and will pack in the tent and Louisville will blow the doors off the Knights in this game and it will not even be close!
When Louisville played as Home Team- in the month of November is 8-2 ATS

When Rutgers played as Road Team- in the month of November they are 5-13-1 ATS
Louisville: 10-1 ATS off BB Overs


Saturday, November 24, 2007

Saturday Selections

Bet Jamaica Pick 5 Contest starts today!

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Early NCAA Games

Check the reply(s) for write-ups if I have time, with so many plays I want to get them posted.



One unit:

Miami +14 Over Boston College

Kansas -1 over Missouri

UCONN +20 over West Virginia





Two Units:



Georgia Tech +4 over Georgia

South Carolina +3 over Clemson


Three Units:

Virginia +3 over Virginia Tech

Florida St. +14 over Florida







Four Units:

Utah +4.5 over BYU

Kentucky +3 over Tennessee


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Friday, November 23, 2007

Friday Football!

Arkansas +13.5

If D-Mac and the Hogs want to salvage a mediocre season a win against LSU will go a long way! The Razorbacks are 4-1 SU & ATS in their L5 games and would like nothing better than to spoil their rivals’ title hopes. LSU is 0-5-1 ATS in its L6 SEC games. Arkansas is 14-4 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points and LSU is 7-21 ATS at home in November. The duo of Darren McFadden and Felix Jones leads the SEC in rushing and has made life uncomfortable for LSU the last two seasons, as the Tigers have pulled out narrow victories. This series was thrown together as a season ending contest when Arkansas joined the SEC. LSU has always had the better teams, but much like this season has not played like it accounting for in part why the home team is 1-5 ATS. The Hogs are 16-7 ATS as dogs of 10.5-21 and LSU is 6-15 ATS against conference opponents. The Hogs will keep this one close and will have a shot for the straight up victory late.

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Thursday, November 22, 2007

Turkey College Football

Turkey Day College Football

The loss last week by Oregon opened some eyes for the teams in this game. They now have a chance to make a run for the title and the rose bowl so that makes for an interesting game tonight and motivation for the Sun Devils. USC has disappointed this year and not played up to the standards but can save face with a big win here.

The time off has helped both teams and the injuries that the QB’s will be ready for the game tonight and the Sun Devils playing for a share of the Pac 10 title will get it!

Arizona +3


Trends:

Arizona is 12-6 ATS at home in the L18
Arizona State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS loss.
USC: 0-6 ATS away off BB wins
Arizona State: 16-5 ATS at home off a road win

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Monday, November 19, 2007

Turkey day Special

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Saturday, November 17, 2007

NCAA Saturday Picks

NCAA Picks

One unit

Boston College +8.5

The Eagles are reeling and Clemson controls their own destiny but this game looks to me to be much closer than 8.5 points with Matt Ryan. Winds in the forecast but it will still be close. Boston College has won and 'covered' its last pair with Clemson. The Eagles are 6-1 as road dogs.
When Boston College team played as a Road team - With 6 day off - Coming off a Loss over Atlantic Coast opponent they are 12-3 ATS

Two Unit:

West Virginia -6


Oregon losing opens up some mighty big doors for WV in the BCS. Since the Big 12 will be beating up on each other it gives them a shot to move way up on the list. West Virginia has won and 'covered' in its last two trips to Cincinnati. The Mountaineers are 15-4-1 as road favorites and 17-6 ATS on the Big East road. West Virginia is 8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
When West Virginia team played as a Road team - Playing on artificial surface - During the month of November - Coming off a win on artificial they are 7-3 ATS
Three Unit

Minnesota +11.5

Wisconsin is 0-4 ATS on the road this year and the Badgers are on a 5-0 'cover' run against the Gophers. Wisconsin has faltered in nine of 10 as double-digit road chalk. The gophers have reason to play at home in the last big game. When Wisconsin team played as Road team as a Favorite - Playing on artificial surface - Coming off a Home win they are 3-7 ATS.
When Minnesota team played as a 10.0 or more Underdog - After a division game - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games they are 10-6 ATS

Four Unit

Michigan St. +2.5

They don’t always play a complete game but the Spartans have played better on the grid iron lately and for the last game at home you know they will get up for this one! The small line indicates the lines makers think so too.
Trends:
Penn State: 1-9 ATS away after allowing 6 points or lessMichigan State: 15-5 ATS at home off a conference win

When Michigan State team played as Home team as an Underdog - Playing on Saturday - Coming off a Win over Big Ten opponent they are 7-3 ATS

Saturday, November 10, 2007

Saturday November 10th

Miami Hurricanes -3.5

The Last game in the orange bowl must provide the Canes with enough inspiration to win one today. The Hurricanes have always been an up and down team this year and this will be an “up” game looking to send off a great stadium and some great fans happy.

UCLA +7
This is another team that plays down to bad opposition and good to great opposition. Arizona St. is a good opponent and UCLA will try to play to their level look for a potential upset, but keep the points.

Wake Forest +9

Clemson may have an eye on the game against Boston College and will not be able to cover today’s game. The points are a bit on the high side here anyhow. Clemson should be favored by about 4-6 so the extra points will come in handy.

Thursday, November 1, 2007

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech--The Pick!


Thursday Night ESPN

For the second straight week, the Hokies of Virginia Tech will be featured on ESPN’s weekly Thursday telecast. If we learned anything by watching last week’s 14-10 loss to Boston College, it’s that playing 58 minutes of quality football won’t get it done. Especially against a rested and favored conference foe that comes in off back-to-back wins and is playing at home. That foe happens to be Georgia Tech, who looks to hand the Hokies its second consecutive Thursday defeat. The big question here is how will Virginia Tech respond after such a crushing defeat?





The answer from the oddsmakers is “not very well,” as the Hokies were installed as a 1.5 point dog. The public seems to agree, having bet the home team up to -2.5 in the first College Football game of November. By now, you know the story. Up 10-0, the Virginia Tech defense completely collapsed last week, allowing 2nd ranked Boston College to score twice in the game’s final two minutes to steal a game the Eagles had no business winning. The loss dropped Frank Beamer’s squad to 15-3 all-time on Thursday Nights. Interestingly, all three losses have come at the hands of BC. After BC scored the first time with 2:11 to play, the Eagles recovered an onside kick and won the game on Matt Ryan's 24-yard TD pass to Andre Callender with 11 seconds to go, stunning the Hokies. Sean Glennon threw an eight-yard pass to Eddie Royal for the lone - and controversial - TD for Virginia Tech (6-2, 3-1 ACC Coastal), which had won five consecutive contests since getting crushed at Louisiana State on September 8, 48-7. Glennon, who started for the first time since the loss to LSU because freshman Tyrod Taylor was injured, completed 15-of-25 passes for 149 yards without an interception. One bright spot for Virginia Tech here is that they are 7-3 in their last 10 November road games. They are also on a 12-2 run against the number in ACC road games. Last year, Virginia Tech lost to Georgia Tech, 38-27, despite 14 more first downs, running 28 more plays and pair of 100-yard games from its receiving corps.








These teams have met three times since VT joined the ACC, with the Hokies winning the first two meetings. None of the games have been close with the average margin of victory at 23 PPG. Georgia Tech (5-3, 2-3 Coastal) has not played since a 34-10 home victory over Army on October 20. In the win, the Yellow Jackets ran up 292 rushing yards. The Yellow Jackets, who have won back-to-back games since dropping three of their previous four, lost star tailback Tashard Choice to a right knee injury in the contest. He is unlikely to play Thursday. Both squads rank in the top 15 in the nation in rushing defense, so this one figures to come down to the passing games. The total is currently at 40.5.








Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech, 7:45 EST ESPN


Virginia Tech: 10-2 ATS in road games


Georgia Tech: 2-11 ATS off an ATS win

PICK: VT +2.5

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