Saturday, November 29, 2008

Saturday Football

Saturday November 28th
Florida St +15.5

Florida is going to play Alabama for the SEC championship and that could propel them to the BCS championship game too, but wait don’t they have another game left? Everyone is looking pas the Seminoles game but the Seminoles and this line is way too big. Florida has whipped Florida State in the past four meetings, but the home team is 15-5 in the last 20 battles. So Florida St is at home with nothing to live for but this game, they have revenge and they have a solid defense. Look for the noles to win this game outright and a small play on the moneyline is suggested here!

Saturday November 28th
Tennessee -4.5

The Vols are in a position we like to back teams in as they are coming home off a straight up win as an underdog. This is also a huge game because it is the swan song for Coach Fulmer. Tennessee has covered 12 of 16 versus Kentucky. The Vols, playing their final game under Coach Phillip Fulmer, have won 16 of 17 in their last home game (11-6 ATS). This is a huge win for the Vols and a nice going away present for the coach!

Saturday November 28th
Oklahoma St. +7

If the big 12 have proven anything this year it’s that the conference has some serious talent. Oklahoma St. runs into arguably the hottest team in the country right now and will put out a full effort to tray and knock them out of the #2 spot in the BCS polls. The home team in the "Bedlam Rivalry" is 8-1-1 ATS. Oklahoma State is 16-9-1 ATS against archrival Oklahoma and 10-4-2 ATS in its last 16 home finales. Oklahoma will have to fight to the wire to get this win and so the points will come in handy!

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Thursday, November 27, 2008

Friday Football

Friday November 27th

Pittsburgh +3.5


It was a big game against the bearcats and this Pittsburgh team did not show up as they were trounced, although the scoreboard did not show it. They are at home and get to play spoilers over the holiday as a win would keep WV from an outside shot of something great! Some may see this as a stretch taking Pittsburgh here but watch for the upset as they salvage a decent season with a win in this game!


Friday
November 27th
Miami Ohio PK

There may be other games on Friday with bigger names playing but make sure to check this game out. Miami (O) has covered in five of the past six series skirmishes against Ohio at home. The Bobcats are 6-13 SU and 5-14 ATS on the road in November. The Red Hawks are 12-4 SU and 10-5-1 ATS in their past 16 home swan songs. Get ready for the early game on ESPNU and enjoy the fireworks!

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Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Turkey day Football

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Thursday
November 26th
Texas -35


Dropping 35 points in a ballgame is not always the best way to go about business when betting college ball, but we will on Thursday! Texas A&M is 4-15 ATS Away off bye week and Texas is 28-12 ATS off road conference win. Texas knows that they have to win and that they have to win very big to let voters know they are still a quality club that beat Oklahoma! This is a statement game and they make one against A&M. Revenge is sweet here. Texas has cashed 13 of its last 15 home finales. The Aggies have dropped 24 of 34 as road dogs and the visitor is 2-7-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Tuesday Night Football

Western Michigan +11
The Super Seven has been red hot on Tuesday always getting the week off to a good start and we look to do it here again! Ball St has had a great season but they are over hyped for this game and all the money is coming in on Ball St. Western Michigan has cashed 12 of its last 16 regular-season finales. The road team has won and covered in the past four series scuffles. Take Western Michigan getting way too many points here.


Monday, November 24, 2008

Tuesday Night Football

I have been red hot on Tuesday always getting the week off to a good start and we look to do it here again! Ball St has had a great season but they are over hyped for this game and all the money is coming in on Ball St. Western Michigan has cashed 12 of its last 16 regular-season finales. The road team has won and covered in the past four series scuffles. Take Western Michigan getting way too many points here.

Western Michigan +11

Sunday, November 23, 2008

AP Top 25 released

The Associated Press Top 25 college football poll, with number of first-place votes and record in parentheses, total points and previous ranking.
AP Top 25
RANKTEAMRECORDPTSPVS
1.Alabama (63) 11-016221
2.Florida (2) 10-115123
3.Oklahoma10-114865
4.Texas10-114824
5.USC9-113526
6.Penn State11-112387
7.Texas Tech10-112122
8.Utah12-012068
9.Boise State11-010649
10.Ohio State10-2104310
11.Oklahoma State9-299711
12.Missouri9-291712
13.Georgia9-287413
14.TCU10-275015
15.Ball State11-073114
16.Cincinnati9-264019
17.Oregon State8-360421
18.Georgia Tech8-3339NR
19.Oregon8-332024
20.Boston College8-3309NR
20.Brigham Young10-230916
22.Michigan State9-327417
23.Florida State8-3214NR
24.Northwestern9-3145NR
25.Mississippi7-4127NR
Others Receiving Votes
West Virginia 120, Pittsburgh 108, Iowa 54, LSU 35, California 11, Tulsa 8, WESTRN MICHIGAN 8, South Carolina 5, CENTRL MICHIGAN 5, Connecticut 2, Nebraska 1, Rice 1.
Dropped From Rankings
LSU 18, Pittsburgh 20, Maryland 22, Miami (FL) 23, North Carolina 25.Size: 125 X 125 pixels

Big 12 is a mess

The big 12 is the best conference in football this year, but that maybe just the thing that brings it down. The fact that they beat up each other will be the difference in having more than one of them in the spotlight for the crown this year. You can make a case for Texas, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma when it comes to a shot at the championship but the problem is they all beat each other and not one of them stood out above the rest. If you say Oklahoma should be 2 with a huge win over tech last night then Texas fans would have something to say about it. Can you rank OU over Texas even though they lost to them? If you can't then what can you do with Tech after losing to OU even though they beat Texas? It may get even messier with the Championship game to follow!

So where do you rank these guys in the big scheme of things?

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Friday, November 21, 2008

Saturday NCAA Football

Saturday November 22nd
Illinois -
2.5
Surprised to see this line when it came out but we think it’s because Illinois is the better team. They are not having a great season but the style of ball that Northwestern plays is similar to Illinois and plays right into their hands. Illinois is 7-0 ATS Away if they forced one or less turnovers last game and Northwestern is 2-10 ATS off SU win. Look for Illinois to win on the road in blowout fashion!

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Saturday November 22nd
Boston College +2

We had them last week +7 and we get them this week +2. The Eagles are in a spot we like as a straight up dog winner in the last game over a big rival in the ACC. Don’t look for a letdown instead look for revenge has Wake as had their way with BC over the years. Boston College is 8-2 ATS off DD win as underdog and Wake Forest is 10-22 ATS as home favorite. Boston College keeps rolling and gets another big win!

Saturday November 22nd
Oklahoma -6.5

In the biggest game of the week we like the Sooners at home to take care of Texas Tech. You get a lower ranked team favored over a higher ranked team and the Sooners looking to make a statement! If they win this game at home it puts them right back in the hunt for the BCS Championship. Oklahoma is 6-0 ATS at home off road game and will be ready for the Red Raiders this week! Unbeaten Texas Tech has lost 11 of its last 15 against the Sooners and come up short in 10 of 15 ATS. Seven of the past nine contests have been decided by 10+ points. Oklahoma has cashed nine straight at home as favorites of less than double digits. The Sooners are also 20-12 ATS in their last 32 home finales. The Sooners get revenge for last year!

NOTE: We did not play on the other big game but we like Michigan plus the points against the Buckeyes!

Friday Night Football

Friday November 21st

San Jose St. +2.5



Another home dog is the way to go in this game Friday night as it is the last game of a nice triple header. Fresno State is 0-7 ATS as favorite and San Jose State is 11-3 ATS at home games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six tussles. Fresno St is favored in this one but I think this is the wrong team as San Jose St should be favored in this game by 3 according to our line making. Take the home team in this game!


Thursday, November 20, 2008

Thursday Night Football

Thursday November 20th
Georgia Tech / Miami Under 39.5


These are two different teams from a year ago but the one constant is that they know how to play defense. The teams have combined to average just 36 points in the past 13 series scuffles and that gives us just enough wiggle room to back the under in this contest. Trend lovers get another nice one here as Georgia Tech is 18-4 Under on Thursday which may have something to do with preparing for the short week. This is a low scoring affair and the under comes sailing in.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Wednesday Night Football

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Wednesday November 19th
Central Michigan +7

That is more like it as we get a nice home dog during the week to try and take home some cash! Trend players must be licking their chops over this one:

Central Michigan is 17-2 ATS off road game that says something about this team when coming home. Central Michigan has won six of 11 against Ball State and cashed eight of 11. The Chippewas have covered nine of their last dozen at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. The Cardinals are 1-3 ATS in their last four outings after starting the year with five straight spread wins. Ball St will fall short in this game.


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Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Tuesday Night NCAA

Northern Illinois is a bad team and they are a road favorite which is usually bad news but not in this case. Northern Illinois hasn't lost back-to-back games to Kent State since 1978-79. The Huskies have cashed four of their last five against the Golden Flashes.Kent State has dropped six of its last eight home finales ATS and nine of 12 ATS off a SU win. Kent State is 3-10 ATS off an over and loses this game to start the week off!

Northern Illinois -3


Sunday, November 16, 2008

Saturday NCAA Football


Saturday November 15th Boston College +7

Notre Dame may not be the team they have been in the past but it is always a big win when BC beats them and I expect for that to carry over to this week. Boston College is 4-1 ATS as road underdog and Florida State is 2-8 ATS off conference win. The Noles could get dumped in this game if they are not careful because the Eagles defense is playing great and they can make this one worth watching. The visitor has won the past three series battles. Boston College is 14-9-1 ATS on the road in November. The Eagles get a huge win on the road!

Saturday November 15th Stanford +23

Everyone remembers last year when Stanford upset USC in the late going and so USC comes in with revenge so you can look for an easy win and a blowout in this game. Not so fast my friend. USC has not blown out anyone lately and this game is the Super bowl for Stanford. The Cardinal has given the mighty Trojans fits, winning four of nine and cashing six of nine. Take the points and Stanford as they may just surprise yet again this year!

Friday, November 14, 2008

Friday NCAA Footballl



Cincinnati -3
The Bearcats are no longer a secret this year and they are making a name for themselves as a real contender and have a shot at a big bowl game. Cincinnati is 14-5 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest and they get a Louisville team that is off a beating against Pittsburgh. The favorite is 8-3 in the past 11 contests and the road team 6-1 ATS. The Bearcats press on against the Big East and show the world they deserve to be in a big bowl game!

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Thursday NCAA Football

Thursday November 13th
Virginia Tech +4

When I saw this line hit four I knew the only way to go was with the Hokies. Virginia Tech is 8-1 ATS in November and Miami is 0-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Virginia Tech has won nine of 13 and cashed 10 of 13 versus Miami. Miami is 2-9 as favorites of between 3 1/2 and 10 points. The Hokies are 10-1 ATS on the road versus an opponent with revenge. VT has started to evolve and this is a must win for them and they always seem to show up on ESPN and they do it again this week! They win straight up against the Canes!

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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Wednesday night Football


Wednesday November 12th
Kent St. +3


We are going back to the well with another bad team on Wednesday this week; the good news is the Owls are not so good either. The Owls are 2-5 SU and 2-4-1 ATS in seven weekday games. One thing that we make sure we never do is take a team as a road favorite that is a bad club and since Temple has lost 6 of 8 straight up they qualify as a play against. Temple is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite of three or less and fall flat on Wednesday!

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Sunday, November 9, 2008

Week 11 Picks

Any regular readers? Now that I know I have a few I will make sure to post earlier and make it a priority!! If you do read and stop by regularly please take a minute to reply to this post so I know!!!

here were all of my picks this week, and stop by the NFL forum because that one is updated!!

1. Tuesday November 4th Buffalo -8
Buffalo is red hot and continued to play well off a win last week in prime time and now go home to show the home team how it is done. Miami (OH) is 0-7 ATS if 60+ points were scored last game and Buffalo is 8-1 ATS off a SU win. The home team has cashed in six of the past nine series confrontations. The Bulls will be looking to string together three straight wins for the first time in more than a decade. Get this line now and get on board the Buffalo bandwagon!
2. Wednesday November 5th Akron -4
Toledo had a big win at Michigan this year but it was not enough to keep their head coach around as he will step down and take another role with the organization. He has lost touch with the players and has had trouble getting them up to play an opponent. The Rockets have flopped in 11 of their last 14 road outings ATS. The Zips are 7-4-1 ATS in their last dozen weekday games. We are going to back another home favorite during the weekday and look for the dog trend to bust wide open.

3. Thursday November 6th Utah +2.5
This is a huge game this week for both of these teams and the winner will press on and look to crash the BCS bowl party and put a wrench into the standings. Utah is 39-19 ATS as an underdog and they are at home and that makes all of the difference in this game. Utah is quietly crawling into the national spotlight and the out right win on Thursday will make the game against BYU the big win for all of the marbles!

4. Friday November 7th Nevada +2.5
This low line should tell you something is up. The fact is Fresno will look right past this game and assume they can easily handle Nevada. The Bulldogs have stumbled in nine of their last 11 as home favorites, and they are 0-6 as favorites in the last six. That shows you that they play much better in the role of the underdog. Nevada is 11-1 ATS off an over and has Fresno St. exactly where they want them. Nevada pulls off the upset of the week this Friday!

5. Saturday November 8th Ohio St. -11
Backing road chalk is not par for the course for the super seven and Northwestern has proved that they can be dangerous this year, but the Buckeye’s are chomping to get back on the field after the bad loss to Penn St. Pryor gets a chance to redeem himself and the Buckeye’s roll. Ohio State has won its last three against Northwestern by a combined score of 160-24. The Buckeyes are 11-1 ATS on the road off a SU loss and that is a sign of good coaching. Ohio State is 37-21 ATS as road favorite and Northwestern is 5-16 ATS at home off BB road games. Look for a blowout this weekend by the Buckeye’s.

6. Saturday November 8th Oklahoma St. +3
How many times do you see it? A team comes off a huge win and then comes out the next week and falls flat on their faces. This week the Red Raiders, who we picked last week to win, will fall flat. Oklahoma State is 8-0 ATS this season and that shows just what kind of surprise they have been and if not for a super talented Big 12 they would be the talk of the town. Oklahoma State has cashed three straight meetings and will win in a squeaker!

7. Saturday November 8th Notre Dame +3.5
Boston College has had a history of owning the Irish and upsetting them whenever they play them. BC finally gets respect as a favorite in this week’s game but it will be the Irish that will finally get revenge! The Irish are 11-3 as dogs lately and 7-4 as road short-enders. The Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their past nine home games in November. Off an upset loss where they blew it in the second half, but this week they play strong for the entire game and get the win! Notre Dame is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less and Boston College is 1-6 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. The Irish win on the road and finally are on the winning side against BC.


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Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Wednesday Night Football

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2. Wednesday November 5th

Akron -4


Toledo had a big win at Michigan this year but it was not enough to keep their head coach around as he will step down and take another role with the organization. He has lost touch with the players and has had trouble getting them up to play an opponent. The Rockets have flopped in 11 of their last 14 road outings ATS. The Zips are 7-4-1 ATS in their last dozen weekday games. We are going to back another home favorite during the weekday and look for the dog trend to bust wide open.

Monday, November 3, 2008

Tuesday night College Football

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Buffalo -8
Buffalo is red hot and continued to play well off a win last week in prime time and now go home to show the home team how it is done. Miami (OH) is 0-7 ATS if 60+ points were scored last game and Buffalo is 8-1 ATS off a SU win. The home team has cashed in six of the past nine series confrontations. The Bulls will be looking to string together three straight wins for the first time in more than a decade. Get this line now and get on board the Buffalo bandwagon!