Sunday, November 9, 2008

Week 11 Picks

Any regular readers? Now that I know I have a few I will make sure to post earlier and make it a priority!! If you do read and stop by regularly please take a minute to reply to this post so I know!!!

here were all of my picks this week, and stop by the NFL forum because that one is updated!!

1. Tuesday November 4th Buffalo -8
Buffalo is red hot and continued to play well off a win last week in prime time and now go home to show the home team how it is done. Miami (OH) is 0-7 ATS if 60+ points were scored last game and Buffalo is 8-1 ATS off a SU win. The home team has cashed in six of the past nine series confrontations. The Bulls will be looking to string together three straight wins for the first time in more than a decade. Get this line now and get on board the Buffalo bandwagon!
2. Wednesday November 5th Akron -4
Toledo had a big win at Michigan this year but it was not enough to keep their head coach around as he will step down and take another role with the organization. He has lost touch with the players and has had trouble getting them up to play an opponent. The Rockets have flopped in 11 of their last 14 road outings ATS. The Zips are 7-4-1 ATS in their last dozen weekday games. We are going to back another home favorite during the weekday and look for the dog trend to bust wide open.

3. Thursday November 6th Utah +2.5
This is a huge game this week for both of these teams and the winner will press on and look to crash the BCS bowl party and put a wrench into the standings. Utah is 39-19 ATS as an underdog and they are at home and that makes all of the difference in this game. Utah is quietly crawling into the national spotlight and the out right win on Thursday will make the game against BYU the big win for all of the marbles!

4. Friday November 7th Nevada +2.5
This low line should tell you something is up. The fact is Fresno will look right past this game and assume they can easily handle Nevada. The Bulldogs have stumbled in nine of their last 11 as home favorites, and they are 0-6 as favorites in the last six. That shows you that they play much better in the role of the underdog. Nevada is 11-1 ATS off an over and has Fresno St. exactly where they want them. Nevada pulls off the upset of the week this Friday!

5. Saturday November 8th Ohio St. -11
Backing road chalk is not par for the course for the super seven and Northwestern has proved that they can be dangerous this year, but the Buckeye’s are chomping to get back on the field after the bad loss to Penn St. Pryor gets a chance to redeem himself and the Buckeye’s roll. Ohio State has won its last three against Northwestern by a combined score of 160-24. The Buckeyes are 11-1 ATS on the road off a SU loss and that is a sign of good coaching. Ohio State is 37-21 ATS as road favorite and Northwestern is 5-16 ATS at home off BB road games. Look for a blowout this weekend by the Buckeye’s.

6. Saturday November 8th Oklahoma St. +3
How many times do you see it? A team comes off a huge win and then comes out the next week and falls flat on their faces. This week the Red Raiders, who we picked last week to win, will fall flat. Oklahoma State is 8-0 ATS this season and that shows just what kind of surprise they have been and if not for a super talented Big 12 they would be the talk of the town. Oklahoma State has cashed three straight meetings and will win in a squeaker!

7. Saturday November 8th Notre Dame +3.5
Boston College has had a history of owning the Irish and upsetting them whenever they play them. BC finally gets respect as a favorite in this week’s game but it will be the Irish that will finally get revenge! The Irish are 11-3 as dogs lately and 7-4 as road short-enders. The Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their past nine home games in November. Off an upset loss where they blew it in the second half, but this week they play strong for the entire game and get the win! Notre Dame is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less and Boston College is 1-6 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. The Irish win on the road and finally are on the winning side against BC.


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1 comment:

Julio said...

I do read your posts regulary !!