Thursday, September 25, 2008

Thursday Night Football

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Thursday Night plays!!
UNDER 50
Tulane/SMU
Everyone is thinking shootout in this one but not so fast. June Jones is known for his shootout but he just doen't have the talent this one will stay closer than most think and look for the under to prevail!

Oregon St +25
Wait on this line and get it as high as possible!!! Click on the team name to get the best line out there today! USC will sleep walk through this game just looking to move on to play Oregon and Arizona St and will pull away at the end and win by two TD's! More on this writeup on the post below this one!!

Saturday Plays are down below take a peek!!

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

NCAA Plays this week!!

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1. Saturday September 27th
Michigan +6.5

Things have to be getting hot for Rich Rodriquez in Michigan. He is not in danger of losing his job but his team has yet to have a very good showing against a quality club and they already lost at home this year. What a big change it would be if the Wolverines could topple the Badgers at home. The Wolverines are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference openers. They have also covered 11 of 13 as dogs of four points or more. The offense may not be great but the defense has kept them in the games lately. The bye week will do wonders for the Wolverines and we look for the best bet to be an upset win for the home team!

2. Saturday September 27th
Illinois +13.5

This is the best game of the week in the Big Ten as Penn St will finally get tested this week when they face Illinois. Illinois is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points and Penn State is 4-12 ATS in conference play. The offense of the fighting Illini will keep this close and the double digits are just too much in this game. This line is off in our estimation about 6 points and look for Penn St to win by six making the line heavily weighed in our favor.


3. Saturday September 27th
Georgia -6.5

Georgia is 5-1 ATS off road a win and showed the world that travel will not bother them as they are in pursuit of the SEC championship. In order to do that they need to stop an impressive Alabama team, which is good news for Bulldog backers. They have won and covered five of the last seven and get the win here. Alabama is 1-5 ATS off BB Overs and will not be able to play as well as they did against the Hogs this week.




4. Saturday September 27th
Virginia Tech +7

The Hokies came from behind to get the win against a tough North Carolina squad and that will give them a boost confidence going into Nebraska. Tyrod Taylor was a blessing at QB because he adds a scrambling threat that will help the Hokies this weekend. Virginia Tech is 9-0 ATS off SU win as road underdog showing that the added confidence helps and Nebraska is 16-34 ATS off home win by 28+ points. The huskers have failed in 13 of the last 20 against the ACC.

5. Saturday September 27th
Mississippi St. +24

This game here is the second of big double digit dogs on tap for the weekend and against we go against one of the biggest powerhouses in college football when we wager against the Tigers of LSU. LSU should look right past this game as they are off a huge come from behind win against Auburn and have Florida on deck in one of the biggest games of the year. The Bulldogs have covered nine of their last dozen on the road and they are 8-2 ATS on the highway with revenge. LSU is 1-12 ATS as conference home favorites of more than two points. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS Away off ATS loss and LSU is 0-6 ATS off 3+ SU wins. It takes the Tigers awhile to get going this weekend.

6. Thursday September 25th
Oregon St. +24

USC is the best team in the country and before you laugh this pick off, check it out for a minute. The Trojans are in a classic look ahead after playing Ohio St with Oregon on deck for the week after. The Beavers have played well against USC of late. The Trojans lost at Oregon State in their last visit as 10 1/2-point favorites, 33-31. In fact, the home team has won five of the past six meetings and covered in every game. The Beavers are 27-14 ATS at home in conference play. The Trojans have failed to cover five of their last six Pac-10 openers, showing they can get caught napping here.

7. Friday September 26th
UCONN +3.5

Like the spot both of these teams are in. The Cardinals are off a game where they played above expectations while the Huskies played well below them. Connecticut is 22-10 ATS off ATS loss which shows they rebound well and get a chance to show the nation they are still a good club. Louisville has the edge when it comes to winning but not when it comes to covering the number. The Huskies keep it close and have a shot at the win!


Saturday, September 20, 2008

Saturday NCAA

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Iowa St +2
UNLV has to feel pretty good about knocking off Arizona St last week. Look for that happy bubble to burst this week. Iowa State is 11-2 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points and UNLV is 8-20 ATS at home off ATS win. Robert McFarland (offensive coordinator for ISU) has faced the different looks that the UNLV defense has and will be prepared for this one.Scoop:

Notre Dame +8.5
The fade is on for the Irish this week as everyone knows they have yet to prove themselves by beating a couple of bad squads. Now they have to go on the road and try and take down a decent big ten team in the Spartans.The Spartans are 1-8 as home favorites of less than 24 points off a SU win.

Arkansas +9
Tennessee +7.5
Taking these two SEC teams at home. Everyone thinks that the hogs are dead with the slow start, but they have a good coach and a good foundation. The Vols want revenge and will keep it close at home!

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Kansas St. Vs Louisville



Wednesday Night Football
Kansas St. Vs louisville
I see folks everywhere taking Kansas St as road chalk to take down the Louisville Cardinals at home. (Consensus has 68% on the Cats) Most of the folks that have the cats are either basing it on the offense or the problems that Louisville had with Kentucky in week one. If you look at the loss to Kentucky but ignore the win over Tennessee Tech because they are an inferior opponent than how can you quantify either of the Cats win against North Texas and Montana St.

Because of this lopsided look the books have been able to install the Cats as 4 point road chalks. I think they have made a mistake and think that Louisville should be the four point home chalk.

Louisville struggled against Kentucky because of pressure on the QB Hunter Cantwell, but the Cats employ a three defender front on the DL and try to get through the front line with speed which works much better on turf. The help that small DL by bringing in blitzes which is something that will take away from the defensive backfield and give time for Cantwell to pick them apart in the short game.

Louisville’s defense is much improved especially against the ground game where they have done very well which means that K St. will have to rely on the pass. That is not bad news as Josh Freeman is a great QB for the cats. The problem is Louisville’s defense can make it a one dimensional offense. This will allow them to focus on the passing game and set it up with defense.

The big match up is that offensive line against the defensive front of K St. The Cardinals will out weigh them by about 50 pounds per person giving this offense time to do its thing.

Kansas St is on the road giving points to a BCS team when they have not proven their worth against anyone and give away size on the front line.

Kansas St is 0-7 in the last 7 as a road chalk.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Wildcats are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games.
Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Louisville is 7-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last three seasons
The Wildcats are only 7-19 ATS in initial road game of the season

Cardinals +4

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Super Seven Week Three

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1. Saturday September 13th
Ohio St. +10.5
Do not let last weeks performance against Ohio stop you from backing the Buckeye’s this week. They were clearly looking forward to this game and slept walked through the Ohio game until they needed to turn it on. They will have a healthy Wells back in the lineup and are dying to shut the critics and play a tough team during the season and win. Ohio State has won and 'covered' nine of its last 11 against Pac-10 clubs, including bowl games. The Buckeyes are 12-4 versus non-conference BCS teams during the regular season and 13-3 ATS on the highway in September. This will be one of the best games this year.

2. Saturday September 13th
Rice +7

Vanderbilt has looked really impressive after winning as an underdog on the road and then knocking off a ranked team at home on national television, now its time for the let down. Rice catches Vanderbilt in a conference sandwich as they face Ole Miss next week and will be looking right past Rice. The Commodores home resume is on the shaky side. They are 5-13 as home favorites and 0-10 as none-conference home chalk of less than 17 points.

3. Saturday September 13th
Fresno St. +2
The stinky line of the week belongs to the Badgers as they travel to face the Bulldogs in blistering heat. The Badgers have been killing teams and they are just two point road favorites? Fresno St. is in a great position I like to back taking a team as a home dog after they won outright on the road as an underdog. Not to mention that the badgers will have the Michigan Wolverines next week and may be looking ahead. The heat and the play of the offense of Fresno St. get the win here. Saturday September 13th

4. Friday September 12th
South Florida -3.5

It’s Human nature to look at the results of last week and use them to decide the winners this week. Kansas looked very impressive blowing out their opponent while South Florida had to go to OT to beat Central Florida. The thing is South Florida is better than Kansas. Kansas has lost nine of its last 11 road openers (4-7 ATS). The Jayhawks have also stumbled in 23 of 35 ATS on grass. South Florida has won seven straight non-conference games at Raymond James Stadium and cashed three of four. The Bulls have 'covered' six of eight against ranked teams, with four outright upsets. The Bulls take care of Kansas.

5. Thursday September 11th
North Carolina / Rutgers Under 46
Rutgers looked bad on the offensive side of the ball taking a tough loss to Fresno St at home. North Carolina had an extra week to practice and has a lot to do to make the ACC look good. I look for the defenses to stand up in this game. The focus on both sides of the ball this week is defense and it will show Thursday night under the lights.

6. Saturday September 13th
Virginia Tech -6.5

Georgia Tech upset BC on the road and that alone makes this a successful road trip for them. Now they face the Hokies and they are in a must win attitude after losing early to east Carolina. Georgia Tech still has some holes on defense and they will fade in the second half as the Hokies pull away in this one. Georgia Tech is 1-8 ATS off ATS win and Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS vs. conference.

7. Notre Dame +2
The coach barked a little too hard this off season when telling boosters “To Hell with Michigan!” He has backed off the statement since saying it but you know this is a game he has to make sure that he wins or it could be his job. Michigan has looked okay on defense but the offense has been bad, look for the Irish to pull it out late. The favorite is 2-10 in the last dozen series showdowns and the dog has barked at a 19-4-1 clip since 1978 in this traditional rivalry.

Hailmary Football Betting

Friday, September 5, 2008

Fab Five for Saturday College Football

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New Mexico +2.5
Saturday September 6th

This gets the stinky line of the week award as this line is very small and is sure to draw plenty of action on the Aggies from Texas A&M. Texas A&M is just 3-12 ATS in September and New Mexico is 25-10 ATS off home loss. New Mexico will be ready for this game and the out right win and upset on Saturday!

Cincinnati +21.5
Saturday September 6th

The Bearcats thought they would have huge question marks on offense especially at Quarterback but those questions may have been answered last week. They completed 74% of the passes and threw for over 300 yards. Cincinnati is 9-1 ATS off non-conference game and 7-1 ATS in the last eight as dogs. Oklahoma is 3-13 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points and better watch out or they will be caught napping in this one.

Boston College -6.5
Saturday September 6th

Life after Matt ryan looks good for the eagles especially on defense where they put up a great performance against Kent last week. BC now returns home to play against the ACC and must prove they can do the same against a better team.BC will depend on Crane to move the offense and the front four to slow down the running game of GT. Georgia Tech is 1-5 ATS off non-conference game and Boston College is 15-5 ATS at home off win by 21+ points

Wake Forest -7.5
Saturday September 6th

Ole miss looked decent in its first game last week but the opponent this week will be much tougher. Ole Miss will have troubles handling the stout defense that Wake has. Wake will also look to jump on the fact that other ACC teams are struggling and they could get a leg up! Ole Miss is 1-9 ATS away 1st two weeks of season and Wake has covered 18 of the last 27 ATS!

Florida -21.5
Saturday September 6th

Dropping this many points is a tough investment to back up, but if anyone can do it: it’s the Gators. They dominate in the swamp and look like they are ready to go after a championship this year. Miami is much improved this year but don’t look for them to be able to muster much of a fight in this one. Miami (FL) is 0-6 ATS Away off SU win and Florida is 6-0 ATS at home vs. non-conference and will roll the canes.

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Thursday, September 4, 2008

$500 Weekly Contest!

Hailmary Football Betting

All, I just finished working with the folks at HailMary and they have offered for me to put a contest in this forum and it pays $500 a week!

The thing is I need to have AT LEAST ten players a week in the contest to run. It will be a pick 'em contest with lines coming from the new sportsbook. All you have to do is sign up and you can play! Interested?

Here would be the prizes per week!!

1st Place $250

2nd Place $150

3rd Place $50

4th Place $50

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If interested sign up and reply in the forum so I can tell them we are going to have it and I will lay down the ground rules and we can start this week (without using tonight's game) Let's get this going!!

Check out my forum for all of the details!

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Thursday Night

Vanderbilt +10
I am just not old on the Gamecocks playing like they did last week. NC St is very bad, and Vanderbilt at home on national television will put up more of a fight than this. Take Vandy plus the points and make sure to check out the best new sports book for football! Click the banner and sign up now!

Hailmary Football Betting

Monday, September 1, 2008

Fresno Vs Rutgers


I am going with the Scarlet Knights in this one. Everyone is pointing out that Rutgers could be in trouble with this team and that they will not be the same without Ray Rice. Rutgers will be more than ready for this game and are an amazing 8-1 ATS against non conference. The Knights will be ready and will take it to the Bulldogs today!