Tuesday, September 23, 2008

NCAA Plays this week!!

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1. Saturday September 27th
Michigan +6.5

Things have to be getting hot for Rich Rodriquez in Michigan. He is not in danger of losing his job but his team has yet to have a very good showing against a quality club and they already lost at home this year. What a big change it would be if the Wolverines could topple the Badgers at home. The Wolverines are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference openers. They have also covered 11 of 13 as dogs of four points or more. The offense may not be great but the defense has kept them in the games lately. The bye week will do wonders for the Wolverines and we look for the best bet to be an upset win for the home team!

2. Saturday September 27th
Illinois +13.5

This is the best game of the week in the Big Ten as Penn St will finally get tested this week when they face Illinois. Illinois is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points and Penn State is 4-12 ATS in conference play. The offense of the fighting Illini will keep this close and the double digits are just too much in this game. This line is off in our estimation about 6 points and look for Penn St to win by six making the line heavily weighed in our favor.


3. Saturday September 27th
Georgia -6.5

Georgia is 5-1 ATS off road a win and showed the world that travel will not bother them as they are in pursuit of the SEC championship. In order to do that they need to stop an impressive Alabama team, which is good news for Bulldog backers. They have won and covered five of the last seven and get the win here. Alabama is 1-5 ATS off BB Overs and will not be able to play as well as they did against the Hogs this week.




4. Saturday September 27th
Virginia Tech +7

The Hokies came from behind to get the win against a tough North Carolina squad and that will give them a boost confidence going into Nebraska. Tyrod Taylor was a blessing at QB because he adds a scrambling threat that will help the Hokies this weekend. Virginia Tech is 9-0 ATS off SU win as road underdog showing that the added confidence helps and Nebraska is 16-34 ATS off home win by 28+ points. The huskers have failed in 13 of the last 20 against the ACC.

5. Saturday September 27th
Mississippi St. +24

This game here is the second of big double digit dogs on tap for the weekend and against we go against one of the biggest powerhouses in college football when we wager against the Tigers of LSU. LSU should look right past this game as they are off a huge come from behind win against Auburn and have Florida on deck in one of the biggest games of the year. The Bulldogs have covered nine of their last dozen on the road and they are 8-2 ATS on the highway with revenge. LSU is 1-12 ATS as conference home favorites of more than two points. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS Away off ATS loss and LSU is 0-6 ATS off 3+ SU wins. It takes the Tigers awhile to get going this weekend.

6. Thursday September 25th
Oregon St. +24

USC is the best team in the country and before you laugh this pick off, check it out for a minute. The Trojans are in a classic look ahead after playing Ohio St with Oregon on deck for the week after. The Beavers have played well against USC of late. The Trojans lost at Oregon State in their last visit as 10 1/2-point favorites, 33-31. In fact, the home team has won five of the past six meetings and covered in every game. The Beavers are 27-14 ATS at home in conference play. The Trojans have failed to cover five of their last six Pac-10 openers, showing they can get caught napping here.

7. Friday September 26th
UCONN +3.5

Like the spot both of these teams are in. The Cardinals are off a game where they played above expectations while the Huskies played well below them. Connecticut is 22-10 ATS off ATS loss which shows they rebound well and get a chance to show the nation they are still a good club. Louisville has the edge when it comes to winning but not when it comes to covering the number. The Huskies keep it close and have a shot at the win!


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