Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Super Seven Week Three

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1. Saturday September 13th
Ohio St. +10.5
Do not let last weeks performance against Ohio stop you from backing the Buckeye’s this week. They were clearly looking forward to this game and slept walked through the Ohio game until they needed to turn it on. They will have a healthy Wells back in the lineup and are dying to shut the critics and play a tough team during the season and win. Ohio State has won and 'covered' nine of its last 11 against Pac-10 clubs, including bowl games. The Buckeyes are 12-4 versus non-conference BCS teams during the regular season and 13-3 ATS on the highway in September. This will be one of the best games this year.

2. Saturday September 13th
Rice +7

Vanderbilt has looked really impressive after winning as an underdog on the road and then knocking off a ranked team at home on national television, now its time for the let down. Rice catches Vanderbilt in a conference sandwich as they face Ole Miss next week and will be looking right past Rice. The Commodores home resume is on the shaky side. They are 5-13 as home favorites and 0-10 as none-conference home chalk of less than 17 points.

3. Saturday September 13th
Fresno St. +2
The stinky line of the week belongs to the Badgers as they travel to face the Bulldogs in blistering heat. The Badgers have been killing teams and they are just two point road favorites? Fresno St. is in a great position I like to back taking a team as a home dog after they won outright on the road as an underdog. Not to mention that the badgers will have the Michigan Wolverines next week and may be looking ahead. The heat and the play of the offense of Fresno St. get the win here. Saturday September 13th

4. Friday September 12th
South Florida -3.5

It’s Human nature to look at the results of last week and use them to decide the winners this week. Kansas looked very impressive blowing out their opponent while South Florida had to go to OT to beat Central Florida. The thing is South Florida is better than Kansas. Kansas has lost nine of its last 11 road openers (4-7 ATS). The Jayhawks have also stumbled in 23 of 35 ATS on grass. South Florida has won seven straight non-conference games at Raymond James Stadium and cashed three of four. The Bulls have 'covered' six of eight against ranked teams, with four outright upsets. The Bulls take care of Kansas.

5. Thursday September 11th
North Carolina / Rutgers Under 46
Rutgers looked bad on the offensive side of the ball taking a tough loss to Fresno St at home. North Carolina had an extra week to practice and has a lot to do to make the ACC look good. I look for the defenses to stand up in this game. The focus on both sides of the ball this week is defense and it will show Thursday night under the lights.

6. Saturday September 13th
Virginia Tech -6.5

Georgia Tech upset BC on the road and that alone makes this a successful road trip for them. Now they face the Hokies and they are in a must win attitude after losing early to east Carolina. Georgia Tech still has some holes on defense and they will fade in the second half as the Hokies pull away in this one. Georgia Tech is 1-8 ATS off ATS win and Virginia Tech is 13-4 ATS vs. conference.

7. Notre Dame +2
The coach barked a little too hard this off season when telling boosters “To Hell with Michigan!” He has backed off the statement since saying it but you know this is a game he has to make sure that he wins or it could be his job. Michigan has looked okay on defense but the offense has been bad, look for the Irish to pull it out late. The favorite is 2-10 in the last dozen series showdowns and the dog has barked at a 19-4-1 clip since 1978 in this traditional rivalry.

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