Friday, September 21, 2007

Friday Night Lights!

Easy winner last night and I have another one for tonight! Make sure to check out our great sponsors for free money and great odds!

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Oklahoma is searching far and wide for another offense that can keep up with its 61.3 points and 565.3 yards per game. Quite frankly, there isn't one out there, but it's safe to say that Tulsa will give it a shot on Friday night.
Tulsa's 559 yards per game is fourth in the nation just behind Oklahoma, but the Golden Hurricane's 45 points per game is still 16-points shy of the Sooners. The scoreboard at Shelly Stadium in Tulsa will no doubt have its work cut out for this in-state showdown. Whichever team punts first may very well receive its first loss of the year.
This may be bad news for Tulsa as Oklahoma is equally as good on defense as it is on offense. The No. 4 Sooners have outscored their three opponents 184-26 en route to a 3-0 record to open the season. All three of those games were in Norman making this Friday night game OU's first road test and it comes on a short week to prepare.
Typically this would be a struggle for a freshman quarterback, but Oklahoma passer Sam Bradford has proven that he's not a typical freshman. Through three games, the Sooner slinger has a 219.51 passer rating and a completion percentage of 79.7. He has notched 11 touchdowns to only one interception, with five of those TDs coming in Oklahoma's clash versus perennial defensive power Miami (Fl).
It certainly helps Bradford having All-American candidates at all the skill positions. Freshman running back DeMarco Murray only made the rich, richer. He already has 251 rushing yards and six touchdowns to go along with fellow running back Allen Patrick's 160 yards and one touchdown. These two will make life difficult for a Golden Hurricane defense that has allowed an average of 184.5 rushing yards over their first two games.
Oklahoma is not only 3-0 SU, but also undefeated ATS. In fact, so far it seems that there isn't a line the oddsmakers can post that the Sooners can't cover. Oklahoma covered more than a 40-point spread against both North Texas and Utah State and in Week 2 covered an 11-point spread by 27 points against Miami.

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Obviously the Sooners' talented offense has played a huge part in OU's early success, but it's tough for teams to cover a spread when they can't even score. Oklahoma's D ranks second in the nation giving up only 8.7 points per game and a measly 179.7 yards. These impressive stats have come against poor offensive units, so Tulsa's offense should be a good litmus test.
QB Paul Smith has led the Golden Hurricane to a 2-0 SU and ATS mark. The senior is coming off one of his best games to date, having thrown for 454 yards and five scores in a 55-47 win over BYU. Tulsa closed as a 7-point home underdog, yet on the shoulders of Smith, the Hurricane got the outright win.
These teams have met twice over the past six seasons with the most recent being in September 2005. Smith was a sophomore starter at the time and performed valiantly. The Tulsa running game was nonexistent in the game, forcing Smith to air it out 36 times and completing 24. He finished the game with 246 yards, one interception and a one-yard touchdown run in the 31-15 Oklahoma victory. The Sooners were ranked No. 18 at the time and bookmakers were expecting a blowout and didn't even post a line.
Tulsa hung tough with Oklahoma through three quarters heading into the fourth down only 14-9, but the mighty Sooners posted 17 points to close out the game. The other meeting was in Tulsa on a Friday night, similar to this year's matchup, but Oklahoma routed the Hurricane 37-0.

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History tells us that Oklahoma has the edge in this one considering the Sooners are 8-1 when they score 28 or more points over the last two seasons. Given Tulsa's troubles on defense, it's almost a given that Oklahoma will score at least 28. Although Tulsa covered against BYU, it is uncommon over the past 15 years for the Hurricane to get the cheese when allowing more than 28 points. Since 1992 Tulsa is 23-64 ATS when allowing that many points.
Oddsmakers opened Oklahoma as a 20-point road favorite over Tulsa, but the public immediately came in on the Sooners pushing that number up to 23. The 'total' hovering around 67 1/2.

Selection: Over 66.5

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