Utah At Louisville who is going to win

The trick for this game is to figure out which team from both sides is going to show up. Utah has looked brilliant in stomping UCLA and then will look disappointing to lesser teams and the same can be said could be said for Louisville.

The strength of Louisville is the pass but Utah is 9th in the country against the pass, but that may be because they are so bad against the run (95th). The question for Louisville is what defense will show up. The undisciplined nature of this defense has them allowing 275.6 YPG at 8.2 yards per attempt (108th ranking) which Utah has the tools to take advantage of. The Utes are 14-4 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).Those seeking a quality parlay in Friday night action should be aware Utah is 15-4 UNDER in road games in non-conference games.
The Cardinals got back on track against another non-conference opponent, NC State, last week with a 29-10 win and cover as nine-point road chalk. It was Louisville’s first ATS win of the season and the team now stands at 3-2 SU & 1-3 ATS, with an average point margin of 50.0-32.2. While the offensive output was expected, the struggles on defense have been dramatic. However, having given up just 10 points last week, perhaps that unit has found its groove.
These schools have not met since 1998, however, new Cardinals Coach Steve Kragthorpe lost to Utah in last year’s Armed Forces Bowl, 25-13, as Tulsa’s head man.



The Utes boast a 44-6 win against UCLA, but also a 27-0 loss to UNLV. They are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS overall. Typically a strong play as an underdog, Utah is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS when getting more than a TD under HC Whittingham.

Utah is a perfect 5-0 all-time against current Big East members, including a 2 for 2 mark against Louisville.
Louisville is a whopping 67-37 ATS when they score 28 or more points over that time frame. Over the last two seasons Louisville is 6-0 'over' the 'total' when they gain 500 or more total yards and has gone 'over' 36 of the last 54 games when scoring at least 28 points.
This season is no different for Utah, as the Utes have a tendency to start slow, especially against the spread. The Utes are 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season the last three years.
Quarterback Brian Brohm and the Louisville offense will be Utah's toughest test all thus far and most likely the rest of the season. Brohm leads the Big East in passing yards (1,948), touchdowns (16) and is third in passer rating (170.37). The six-foot-four quarterback will be a Top-3 pick in the upcoming NFL draft, but he could struggle more than people think against Utah. The Utes' secondary has held teams to an average of 151.6 yards per game.
Brohm will get the Big East's leading receiver Harry Douglas back from an ankle injury. Douglas didn't play last week versus NC State, yet he still leads the conference with 679 receiving yards and is tied for the most receiving touchdowns with 5.

Trends that are good and bad for both sides I just found posted everyone I came across:

Utah is 16-2 ATS after playing in-state rival Utah State.
Utah: 4-14 ATS in the first half of the season
Louisville: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite
Utah is 24-10 Under when coming off a home win as well as 11-2 Under coming off a no-cover where the team won straight up.
The Cardinals double digit faves, they are 14-7 ATS when in this spot.
When Utah team played as Road team as a Underdog - After a non conference game - Coming off a Win over Western Athletic opponent they are 7-3 ATS
When Louisville team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite - Playing on artificial surface - Coming off a 1 under the over is 14-6
When Louisville team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Coming off a 1 under the over is 8-2





Utah / Louisville OVER 61